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Home > Weekly Column

IS AL GORE WAITING IN THE WINGS?

December 2, 2007 - December 9, 2007
With roughly a month to go before the Iowa Caucuses the once seemingly unsinkable Hillary Clinton campaign for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination is showing signs of taking on water. A new Iowa poll puts Barack Obama in the lead in that state for the first time. In the coming weeks he is planning to campaign in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina with star supporter Oprah Winfrey – perhaps the only celebrity who can go toe-to-toe with Bill Clinton when it comes to political clout. Democrats who once whispered the question of whether Hillary is the party’s best shot at the White House are now beginning to ask the question openly.

Hillary has great strengths to play upon in her quest for the Democrat’s nomination. She has the organization, plenty of experience (though most of it gleaned second-hand), and loads of money. She has Bill Clinton at her disposal, although his larger-than-life persona is proving to be a double-edged sword that has bloodied the Clinton campaign itself from time to time. And she has the “fear factor” – anybody who opposes her is literally putting their political future on the line because the Clintons will never forget and certainly never forgive.

But most importantly, Hillary has always had the façade of inevitability. She would win the nomination because it was always “hers to lose.”

The danger of inevitability as a basis for political strength is that once that thin veneer is cracked, it can literally disappear overnight. Like “The Emperor Who Had No Clothes” once everyone figures out you are actually much weaker than thought you end up being totally exposed and vulnerable. For Hillary, the loss of any single primary or caucus would be a complete disaster and she could find herself unable to recover despite all of her advantages.

With the rising possibility that Hillary could lose the nomination, Democrats must now consider the implications of having Barack Obama as their nominee. Will Americans really put a man with a lightweight portfolio of experience on national security and international affairs issues in the White House at a time of war? Does he have the fortitude to survive an extraordinarily tough national campaign based upon his relatively tame state senate and U.S. Senate campaigns? Skeptical Democrats may be won over by his charm and charisma, or they may look to the sidelines for a political savior.

If Hillary’s campaign collapses, and Democrats reject Barack as their best hope of regaining the White House there is only one potential Democratic candidate who could enter the race at this late date and coalesce the disparate elements within the party around his nomination. Not only are most Democrats already convinced that he could win the White House, some believe he already did back in 2000. Al Gore is truly tanned, rested and ready for 2008. Plus, he has a freshly minted Nobel Peace Prize medallion around his neck and he was checking things out in the Oval Office just last week.

Is it likely that Al Gore emerges as the Democrat nominee for President? No, a lot of things would have to come together perfectly for that scenario to become a reality. But we just completed a college football season that saw Appalachian State beat Michigan in Ann Arbor, Navy knock off Notre Dame for the first time in over 40 years, and LSU end up in the National Championship game after losing two games. Of all years, this is one where truly anything is possible.

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Previous Column

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SHOULD AMERICAN TAXPAYERS PAY THE TAB TO BAILOUT THE BIG THREE AUTOMAKERS?
NO WAY, NO HOW!!!
YES, THE INDUSTRY IS MUCH TOO IMPORTANT FOR US TO LET IT FAIL.
IT DEPENDS ON THE TERMS OF THE DEAL. WHAT INTEREST RATE WILL THEY PAY FOR THE CASH? WHAT DO WE GET AS COLLATERAL?
LET'S BAILOUT TWO OF THE THREE AND LET ONE FAIL. THEY SHOULD COMPETE TO BE IN THE TOP TWO BY CUTTING COSTS AND WAGES!
YES, BECAUSE WE CAN SAVE THEM JUST LIKE WE SAVED THE BANKS, INSURANCE COMPANIES, ETC.
NOT SURE.
 
 

Previous Articles:

WILL AMERICA COME TOGETHER AFTER THE ELECTION?
October 30, 2008 - November 4, 2008

WHY VOTERS ARE FURIOUS ABOUT THE BAILOUT PACKAGE.
October 5, 2008 - October 11, 2008

BOGUS POLL INTENDED TO BOOST OBAMA.
September 27, 2008 - October 4, 2008

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