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Home > Weekly Column

WILL BREDESEN ALTER THE TENNESSEE POLITICAL LANDSCAPE IN 2009?

July 15, 2008 - July 22, 2008
Despite the looming Presidential free-for-all in November, 2008 is not shaping up to be a particularly explosive political year for Tennessee. John McCain seems to have a comfortable lead in Tennessee and Barack Obama is not expected to spend significant time or money pursuing the state’s eleven electoral votes. Lamar Alexander is a safe bet for re-election to the U.S. Senate despite what may be a dismal election season for Republicans nationally. Although Congressional approval ratings have sunk into the single digits in some polls none of the incumbents in Tennessee are in serious trouble at this point.

Some State House and Senate races may generate some excitement, but by the time the counting of votes is completed it is likely that the Republicans will retain control of the State Senate while the Democrats will remain in a majority in the House. Thus, the 2008 political season will certainly generate a lot of noise in Tennessee but very little real change in the political landscape. 2009, however, could usher in a dramatic turn in political events that would make the NEXT election cycle anything but boring.

Although Tennessee Governor Phil Bredesen continues to receive attention as a prospective running mate for Barack Obama it is unlikely that he will ultimately make the “cut.” The electoral map simply doesn’t weigh out in his favor.
Nevertheless, Capitol Hill insiders say that the Governor is far from fully engaged in the mundane details of governing and seems more than ready to move on to his next challenge. An offer to serve in a key cabinet post in an Obama Administration would almost certainly be tendered, and many believe that Bredesen would readily accept an opportunity to head Treasury, Commerce or Health and Human Services.

The question is whether Bredesen would hesitate in accepting such a position with the knowledge that his resignation would immediately elevate Republican Lt. Governor Ron Ramsey into the Governor’s office with two years remaining in the current term. Some Democrats, however, see that possible scenario as improving their chances of a Democrat Governor emerging from the 2010 election cycle.

Former Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist is seen as a likely Republican candidate, and probably nominee, for Governor in 2010. His ability to raise as much as ten million dollars to fund a campaign, and match that amount from his personal wealth, is a daunting challenge that prospective Republican and Democrat candidates must factor into the equation when considering a race against him.
Republicans like Ramsey, Congresswoman Marsha Blackburn, Congressman Zack Wamp, Shelby County D.A. Bill Gibbons, and others are unlikely to run if Frist gets in. Likewise, Democrats such as Congressman Lincoln Davis, former House Leader Kim McMillan, Harold Ford, Jr. and others may pause before jumping into a race against Frist and his money.

But what if Bredesen exits and Governor Ramsey is running for re-election in 2010? Would Frist challenge the sitting Republican Governor for the nomination? That could certainly shake things up!

Some Democrats see Ramsey as a less formidable foe, but in politics appearances often prove deceiving – particularly when judging one potential opponent as “easier” to beat than another. While the Tennessee political arena may produce some yawns in 2008, decisions made in the first month or so in 2009 could make the next election cycle absolutely breathtaking.

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IS THE OBAMA LINK TO TERRORIST WILLIAM AYERS FAIR GAME IN THE PRESIDENTIAL RACE?
ABSOLUTELY!
NO, OBAMA WAS ONLY 8 WHEN AYERS WAS SETTING TERRORIST BOMBS.
MAYBE, BUT IT WON'T HAVE ANY IMPACT.
NOT SURE.
 
 

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BOGUS POLL INTENDED TO BOOST OBAMA.
September 27, 2008 - October 4, 2008

NANCY PELOSI IS A REAL GAS!
September 18, 2008 - September 24, 2008

OBAMA MILITARY STORY HAS A HUGE HOLE IN IT!
September 8, 2008 - September 14, 2008

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